NY Mets (2-3) vs. Miami Marlins (4-2)
April 2, 2025 4:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 170 / NY Mets -205; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 3rd, at LoanDepot Park. Let’s take a look at a Miami Marlins vs New York Mets pick.
Disappointing Game for the Mets
It was quite a disappointing game for the Mets on Tuesday. The Mets had two bad innings with the pitching, in the second and fourth innings, and that led to the defeat. It’s never good to allow a team to beat you when they have more runs than hits. The Marlins finished with four runs but only three hits. Kodai Senga went five innings, giving up three hits and two runs. He had eight strikeouts and only one walk. He probably did deserve a better result, maybe a win. In the first game of this series, the Mets scored 10 runs, and they need to get that type of run support back.
Clay Holmes is going to get the start for the Mets. He has a 0-1 record and an ERA of 3.86. Against the Houston Astros, he went 4.2 innings, giving up five hits and two earned runs. They really need him to go five or six innings here.
Why the Mets Will Beat the Marlins
- The Mets have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Marlins following a road loss.
- The Marlins have lost 10 of their last 11 home games against the Mets following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents.
Solid Start for the Marlins
The Marlins have had a solid start, and they come into this game with a 4-2 record. Tuesday’s game was the definition of ugly, but it doesn’t matter how they got it done; they came out on top. Kyle Stowers had a strong game; he hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Sandy Alcantara got the start, and he looked good, going five innings and giving up three hits and two earned runs.
Connor Gillispie will start for the Marlins. He has a 0-1 record and an ERA of 5.40. Against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he pitched five innings, giving up four hits and four runs, including one home run.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Give me the Mets here. The Mets’ offense didn’t look great on Tuesday, but it’s a big bounce-back spot here. Gillispie isn’t exactly an elite pitcher, and he might even be below average. He gave up one home run and four runs in his first start, and it’s going to be much of the same here. The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a game where they allowed two or fewer runs. The Marlins are going to have no answer against Holmes, who will give the Mets at least five innings here. Back the Mets on the run line.
