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Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 8/29/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (68-67) vs. Washington Nationals (64-73)
August 29, 2026 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -108 / Miami Marlins 101; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 29th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 64-73 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 30-38 home record and are coming off a 9-2 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Braves and the Dodgers next.

The Washington Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .325 OBP, and .432 slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ best hitter with a .272 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 92. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Cade Cavalli (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, has a 12-5 record, 3.21 ERA, and 1.21 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 68-67 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 26-40 road record and are coming off a 2-9 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the Royals and the Cubs next.

The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .399 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .307 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 59. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, has a 13-8 record, 3.38 ERA, and 1.18 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 29, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Cavalli      Record this season: 12-5      ERA: 3.21
  • Home Record: 6-2
  • Last 5 against Marlins: 2-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have won each of their last five day games against the Marlins at Nationals Park following a win.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against the Nationals following a loss.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have won the first inning in seven of their last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home day games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 13-8      ERA: 3.38
  • Road Record: 7-5
  • Last 5 against Nationals: 3-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Marlins’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Sandy Alcantara’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven home games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Daylen Lile has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games as favorites.
  • Cade Cavalli has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Cade Cavalli has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
  • Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Nationals as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (43) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Heriberto Hernandez has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last four road games against the Nationals.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine road games.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (161) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (713).
  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (190).
  • The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
  • The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (141).

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction

The Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Nationals and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Washington.

In this Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -190 home favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a combined 6.59 ERA and have both been in excellent form. Cavalli’s two of his last three starts have been shutouts and Alcantara has given up one run or less in five of his last six starts. Both teams have also being playing some lower-scoring games lately, going for 13-5 to the under in their last 18 games combined. Take the under 7.5 in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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