Washington Nationals (5-7) vs. Miami Marlins (6-6)
April 11, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 105 / Washington Nationals -125; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins meet on Friday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 5-7 on the year and play the Pirates, Rockies, and Orioles next. The Washington Nationals are batting .235 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and a .418 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. Keibert Ruiz leads the Washington Nationals with 13 hits and 9 RBI, while Nathaniel Lowe and James Wood have combined for 22 hits and 19 RBI.
Mitchell Parker gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. Parker is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 6-6 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Phillies, and Reds next. The Miami Marlins are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .348 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 13 hits and 3 RBI, while Otto Lopez and Dane Myers have combined for 21 hits and 9 RBI.
Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Quantrill is 0-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Nationals’ last six games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in six of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 13 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have won each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games against the Marlins.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (89).
- The Marlins rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (120).
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.271).
- The Nationals rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.58).
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are coming off strong performances against the Diamondbacks and Dodgers, so it’s fair to give them a look in this series. Parker has also been ridiculous through his first couple of starts this season. However, the Marlins have been a scrappy bunch that’s played good defense, got timely offense, and had a flair for the dramatics. The Nats and Marlins are below-average teams in the NL East, so if I’m going to get behind either side, I want some bang for my buck attached to it. It doesn’t hurt that the Marlins are at home. I’ll roll with the Marlins and the slightly better price.
