Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 10th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 18-22 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 8-7. In game two, Miami trailed 4-0 in the third inning, but they scored the next eight runs and hung on for the win. The Marlins recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Junk allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Nardi got the win and King picked up the save. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Orioles and three out of four against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 171 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 34 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 3-2 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 19-21 this year after they lost game two by a score of 8-7 on Saturday. Washington blew a 4-0 lead early in the game, but they scored three runs in the ninth inning and nearly tied the game. The Nationals recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Abrams, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Littell allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Parker allowed five earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Twins, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 215 runs with a .243 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 36 RBIs, while James Wood has added 11 home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won eight of their last nine day games against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Marlins following a road loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Marlins following a road loss.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight home day games.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in seven of their last nine games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Nationals’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Cade Cavalli’s last seven appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against the Nationals.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 14 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 15 road games against NL opponents.

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington had their three game winning streak snapped on Saturday, but they have scored at least seven runs in three of their last four games. The Nationals are 13-8 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 13-12 at home. Miami has allowed seven runs or more in three of their last five and they are starting Alcantara, who has allowed 7, 2, 3, 2, and 7 earned runs in his last five starts. Washington is starting Cavalli, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I don’t really trust either pitching staff right now, but I do like the Nationals high scoring offense. Take Washington to win here.