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Phillies vs Rockies Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today

Colorado Rockies (16-24) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (18-22)
May 10, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -308 / Colorado Rockies 244; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Rockies and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs. Rockies Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs. Rockies Pick.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 16-24 on the year and play the Pirates and Diamondbacks next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .252 on the season and have a .323 OBP, and a .404 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. TJ Rumfield leads the Colorado Rockies with 40 hits and 21 RBI while Troy Johnston and Mickey Moniak have combined for 74 hits and 39 RBI.

Tomoyuki Sugano gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 3-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-22 on the year and play the Pirates and Red Sox next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .235 on the season and have a .303 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 43 hits and 21 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 80 hits and 35 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Colorado Rockies.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 road games against the Phillies following a road loss.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last nine home games against the Rockies following a home win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Phillies following a road loss.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against the Rockies at Citizens Bank Park.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Rockies have won each of their last three games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Phillies have lost five of their last six Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Rockies have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last five road games has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rockies’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (14) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last five road games against the Phillies.
  • Kyle Karros has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
  • Troy Johnston ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.328) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (384).
  • The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.272).
  • The Rockies rank T29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (391).
  • The Rockies rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.269).

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction

Sugano has pitched well through 37 innings with a 3.41 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, but I just don’t trust the Rockies. The Phillies have turned their season around under Donnie Baseball, and these are games they should take advantage of to keep chipping away in the standings. Sanchez continues to look like an all-star-caliber pitcher and he’s been at his best at home with a 1.18 ERA and .199 allowed batting average in 38 innings. The line is what it is for a reason, folks. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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