Marlins vs Orioles Prediction 5/5/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 5th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 16-19 this year after they lost three out of four against the Phillies by scores of 5-6, 4-0, 2-7, and 0-1. In game four, Miami pitched a great game, but they couldn’t find any runs for the shutout loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stowers, who went 2-4. Junk allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Bachar threw two scoreless innings in relief. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they have scored 146 runs with a .251 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with seven home runs and 29 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 3-2 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 15-20 this season after they lost all four against the Yankees by scores of 2-7, 4-9, 3-11, and 1-12. In game four, Baltimore cut the deficit to 3-1 in the sixth inning, but they allowed nine more runs for the ugly loss. The Orioles recorded 10 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Cowser, who went 1-2 with one RBI in the game. Baz allowed five hits and five earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Trivino allowed six earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.96 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and a .274 opponent batting average, while they have scored 155 runs with a .233 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with nine home runs and 19 RBIs, while Jeremiah Jackson has added six home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Chris Bassitt, who is 2-2 with a 5.46 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The home team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Marlins have lost 24 of their last 26 night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have won eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven games against American League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 13 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Otto Lopez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (36).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.273).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (323).

Marlins vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup on a five game losing streak and they have allowed 50 runs in those five games. The Orioles are 6-11 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 11-9 at home. Miami has scored just three runs or fewer in three of their last five games and they are starting Alcantara, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Orioles are going with Bassitt, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four outings. This could be a decent pitching matchup, but I can’t trust anyone on this Baltimore pitching staff right now. Take the Marlins at home.