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Marlins vs Reds Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23

Cincinnati Reds (16-21) vs. Miami Marlins (19-19)
May 12, 2023 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -135 / Cincinnati Reds +105; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Reds have won 7 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jonathan India leads the Reds with 42 hits and 17 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Tyler Stephenson have combined for 71 hits and 31 RBI. Graham Ashcraft gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Ashcraft is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Marlins have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 49 hits and 13 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jorge Soler have combined for 62 hits and 30 RBI. Eury Perez will make his major league debut when he takes the mound tonight. Perez was 9-9 with a 2.85 ERA and 260 strikeouts in his minor league career.

The Reds are 1-7 in their last 8 Friday games and 16-35 in their last 51 road games. The Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 Friday games and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. The under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 road games. The under is 10-3-1 in Marlins last 14 home games. The Reds are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.

I have a rule of not backing pitchers making their big league debut as you really don’t know what to expect. However, Eury Perez is a top 10 prospect in all of baseball, so he’s not your typical rookie. I’d also expect a packed house for a change, knowing Perez’s potential. Also, the Marlins’ offense has picked up these last couple of weeks, and they’ve shown flashes of promise. The Reds are below .500 on the year, and they don’t do anything particularly well on either side of the plate. Give me the fish and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins -135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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