Cincinnati Reds (17-21) vs. Miami Marlins (19-20)
May 13, 2023 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -182 / Cincinnati Reds +140; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins meet in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Miami is listed as a -200 home favorite while Cincinnati is a +170 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Nick Lodolo will start for Cincinnati and is 21-1 with a 6.29 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami and is 1-3 with a 4.53 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Cincinnati’s 7-4 win over Miami on Friday made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams.
Trends
Cincinnati is 16-35 in their last 51 road games and 9-19 in their last 28 games against the NL East while the over is 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win. Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games overall and 0-4 in their last 4 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a left-handed starter.
Pick
I’m backing the Marlins here. Not a game I’m rushing to bet as I’m not loving this price with the Marlins, but Sandy is a much better pitcher than what we’ve seen from him to this point. The Reds have been solid as well, as they got the win over Miami to start the series, but I’m starting to fall out of love with Nick Lodolo and I think the Marlins’ bats wake up here and get the win on the run line.
