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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-3-24 Picks

San Diego Padres (16-18) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18)
May 3, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -104 / San Diego Padres -114; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send Dylan Cease to the mound here and he is 3-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Cease’s second career start against the Diamondbacks. Slade Cecconi will start this one for Arizona and he is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Cecconi’s first career start against San Diego.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build on their series win over Cincinnati after a 6-2 win in Wednesday’s series finale. The Padres utilized and benefitted from a 4-run 7th inning to put themselves in front for good and the series win was a welcome sight after being swept by the Philadelphia Phillies going back to last weekend.

Padres Inconsistent At The Dish

Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 38 hits along with a .342 batting average and 8 doubles with 4 homers and 21 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has a team-high 24 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 6 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 4 home runs and 16 RBIs but also has a team-high 30 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 26 hits with 2 triples, 4 doubles, 17 RBIs and a team-high 7 stolen bases.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this series looking to turn things around after a third straight series loss after dropping an 8-0 loss in Wednesday’s series finale. The loss gave the D-Backs another series loss after falling to the Mariners and Cardinals in the previous series. Arizona couldn’t get anything going off of Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the loss as the Diamondbacks were outhit 10-7 in the loss.

Diamondbacks Looking For Answers Of Their Own

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 39 hits in addition to a .307 batting average and 11 doubles with 5 home runs and 15 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 5 home runs and a team-high 22 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 8 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has a team-high 36 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 7 home runs with 22 RBIs of his own this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the under here. I think this could be a great opportunity for Dylan Cease to bounce back after a rough outing last time out against a Diamondbacks team that hasn’t been overly efficient against right-handed starters this season. On the other side of the coin, Cecconi’s been pitching really well, and the Padres are so wildly inconsistent that even though they’ve been beating up on righties in the last couple of weeks, I still don’t trust them. I think this is a great spot for the under to come in so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 9

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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