Marlins vs Yankees Prediction 8/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 52-55 this year after they won two out of three against St. Louis by scores of 1-7, 5-0, and 2-0. In their game three win, Miami scored twice in the third inning, which was enough to get the low-scoring win. The Marlins recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Quantrill, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Faucher picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Padres. Miami has won six of its last eight games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 453 runs with a .252 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 23 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 15 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 5-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 60-49 this season after they won three out of four against Tampa Bay by scores of 2-4, 7-5, 5-4, and 7-4. In their game four win, New York scored the first seven runs in the game, but failed to score over the last five innings in the victory. The Yankees recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Rice, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Stroman, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Loaisiga picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Blue Jays. New York has won four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 564 runs with a .252 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Cody Bellinger has led New York with 20 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 18 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 11-7 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 130.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven Friday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won four of their last five games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Friday night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in five of the Marlins’ last six games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine Friday night games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Yankees and Marlins.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
• Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances in night games.

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking for their fourth straight win, as it continues to chase the red-hot Blue Jays. New York is 26-27 on the road this year, while Miami is 24-29 at home. Miami is also playing very well right now, and they are starting Junk, who has allowed seven earned runs and 14 hits in his last 10.0 innings. New York is going with Rodon, who has allowed a total of five earned runs in his last 18.1 innings. I don’t love how the Yankees have played on the road this season, but they do have the advantage on the mound. Take New York -1.5 here.