Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) vs. NY Mets (48-37)
July 2, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets 108 / Milwaukee Brewers -132; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers prediction for this MLB doubleheader on Wednesday, July 2, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (47-37, 20-20 Away) have maintained an unbeaten streak over their last five series. In their most recent games, they triumphed over the Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies at home. Although they were on the verge of sweeping the Rockies, the Brewers were unable to complete the task, losing in extra innings during Game 3. Chad Patrick pitched for 5.0 innings, resulting in a no-decision, as he allowed no runs on four hits, achieving eight strikeouts and two walks. The loss was taken by Grant Anderson.
This year, the Brewers average 4.73 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .247/.322/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.77 ERA (13th) and 1.29 WHIP (18th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .262 batting average, 16 home runs, and 60 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Brewers in Game 1 of this doubleheader is Freddy Peralta, who is 8-4 in 17 starts this season, with a 2.90 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 93.0 innings. Jacob Misiorowski will start in Game 2; he has a 3-0 record in three starts this year with a 1.13 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in 16.0 innings.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (48-37, 29-12 Home) find themselves without a victory in their last five series. Following a split against the Atlanta Braves, where they came back from a 2-0 deficit, the Mets were unable to perform against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This is the third occasion this season that the Mets have been swept, with all three sweeps taking place in June. In the three games played, New York scored a mere four runs while allowing 20 runs to one of the weakest offenses in the MLB. In their latest loss, which was a 12-1 defeat (the highest number of runs allowed this season), Frankie Montas suffered the loss after yielding six runs on seven hits, along with five strikeouts and one walk.
This season, the Mets average 4.33 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .245/.323/.417 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.46 ERA (4th) and 1.30 WHIP (19th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .291 batting average, 18 home runs, and 65 RBI this season.
Clay Holmes will take the mound for the Mets in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Wednesday. The 32-year-old right-hander has an 8-4 record in 16 starts this year with a 2.97 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 88.0 innings. At the time of writing, the Mets haven’t announced the starter for Game 2.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last four day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
- The Mets rank T6th in the league for runs allowed this season (329).
- The Brewers rank T23rd in the league for doubles this season (121).
- The Brewers rank 9th in the league for runs scored this season (397).
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won seven of their last ten head-to-head encounters, but the Mets have claimed victory in three of the last four matchups. The Mets are currently enduring their most difficult stretch of the season; nonetheless, I will avoid betting on the winner in this case and will instead select the Under. Clay Holmes has not given up more than three runs in his last seven starts, recording a 2.93 ERA in June. On the other hand, Freddy Peralta has not allowed more than three runs in his last eight starts, and I am supporting both pitchers to deliver strong performances in this matchup. Milwaukee’s record is 33-48, while New York’s record is 36-46 in terms of Over/Under this season. I suggest going with the Under.
For Game 2, Milwaukee will start rookie Jacob Misiorowski, who impressed the entire league in his first three starts in the MLB. Misiorowski shut out the Pittsburgh Penguins and St. Louis Cardinals and allowed just two runs in 16.0 innings. The Mets will likely go with their bullpen, so I am backing the Brewers to take Game 2.
