Mets vs Cubs Prediction 5/10/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 10th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 25-14 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-2 on Friday. New York scored the first five runs in the game and they were never in danger of losing after that point. The Mets recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings in the win, while Butto allowed two hits and one earned run in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but did drop two out of three against the Cardinals before that. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.82 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 188 runs with a .252 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with nine home runs and 34 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added eight home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 22-17 this year after they dropped game one in this series last night. Chicago was never able to get much going at the plate, but they did hit two solo home runs in the game. The Cubs recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Tucker and Busch, who both hit a home run in the game. Chicago started Taillon, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Cosgrove allowed two hits and one earned run over 2.0 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Giants, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that. Chicago has lost four of their last five games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 225 runs with a .256 batting average and a .334 on base percentage this season. Kyle Tucker has led Chicago with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Seiya Suzuki has added nine home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Brad Keller, who is 0-0 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Cubs

• The Mets have won eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games at Citi Field against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Cubs’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cubs’ last eight night games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mets’ last five home games.

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Mets vs Cubs Prediction 

New York picked up an easy victory in game one of this series and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games. The Mets are 14-3 at home this year, while the Cubs are 12-8 on the road. Chicago has lost three games in a row and their offense has scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Cubs are starting Keller, who will only go an inning or two. New York is going with Megill, who hasn’t been his best in his last two starts, but has been very good for most of the season. I don’t like how Chicago’s offense has looked, so I am going to take the Mets on the run line, but I am also slightly worried about Megill.