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Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4-13-24 Picks

Atlanta Braves (8-4) vs. Miami Marlins (2-12)
April 13, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +165 / Atlanta Braves -195; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 13th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Atlanta

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 2-12 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Miami dropped game one in this series on Friday and they lost two out of three to the Yankees in the previous series. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA, a 1.63 WHIP, and a .266 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 48 runs with a .203 batting average and a .268 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .241 with three home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 0.73 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 8-4 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 8-1, but they lost two out of three against the Mets in the previous series. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 81 runs with a .308 batting average and a .370 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .360 with six home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 10.2 innings pitched this season.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

Miami comes into this matchup with one of the worst records in the MLB and their pitching staff has team ERA of 5.14. Atlanta has had some pitching struggles to start this season as well, but they have a much better offense than Miami does. The Marlins have won two of their last five games, after starting the season 0-9. Miami is starting Max Meyer, who has allowed three earned runs over 11.0 innings against St. Louis and the Angels. The Braves are going with Chris Sale, who has allowed four earned runs over 10.2 innings against the Diamondbacks and Phillies. Meyer has been one of the few pitching bright spots for the Marlins this season, but this is going to be the best lineup he has faced. On the other side, Sale has been decent to start the season, but I still don’t really trust him. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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