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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5-12-24 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies (28-12) vs. Miami Marlins (10-31)
May 12, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +197 / Philadelphia Phillies -238; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for this MLB showdown on Sunday, May 12th at the loanDepot Park
Phillies Coming off Another Win
The Phillies are coming off another win on Saturday and it was the offense that was the difference. The Phillies scored eight runs and they ended up winning by five. Bryson Stott has hit two home runs and driven in four RBIs. The Phillies are averaging 5.18 runs per game while their pitching is giving up 3.6 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league while the pitching is ranked 6th. They currently have a run differential of 1.56 which is 2nd in the league. Bryce Harper has hit nine home runs and driven in 29 RBIs. Zack Wheeler comes into this game with a 4-3 record and an ERA of 1.64. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went seven innings giving up four hits and one run.
Marlins Still Looking for 11th Win
The Marlins are coming off another loss on Saturday, and they still only have ten wins this season. The Marlins only scored three runs on Saturday, and that isn’t nearly good enough. Otto Lopez hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. The Marlins are averaging 3.6 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 30th. Bryan De La Cruz has hit eight home runs and driven in 21 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Braxton Garrett, who will be making his first appearance of the season. The Marlins will face the Tigers following this series.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Phillies have lost 13 of their last 17 games as road favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won 12 of their last 16 games as home underdogs against the Phillies following a home loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 16 of their last 19 games as home underdogs against the Phillies following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 17 games as road favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three Sunday day games as road favorites.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last 11 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I trust what Zack Wheeler has done this season, and now he goes against a Marlins’ offense that has had some major issues all season. The Marlins are going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and that is going to be the difference here, as the Phillies are going to get the job done. The Marlins aren’t going to score more than a run total here, and that will be the difference. Back the Phillies on the run line.