Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-10-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 10th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 43-74 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Miami lost the first game in this series on Friday night and they only scored two runs. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost three out of four against the Reds, split four games with the Braves, and split two games with the Rays. Miami is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 425 runs with a .237 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .242 with 20 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 65-52 this year and they have won six games in a row. San Diego won the first game in this series by a score of 6-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Padres swept the Pirates, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won both games against the Dodgers. San Diego is 15-2 in their last 17 games and they are closing in on the Dodgers in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 554 runs with a .265 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .272 with 18 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who is 7-9 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 128.1 innings pitched this year. Waldron has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Roddery Munoz, who is 2-6 with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this season. Munoz has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five outings. 

Why the Padres will beat the Marlins

• The Padres have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday day games.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last five games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of his seven previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• David Peralta has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Padres’ last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last six road games.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 25 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

San Diego continues to rack up the wins as they are the hottest team in the MLB right now. The Padres are only a few games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and they are 35-23 on the road. Miami is just 23-38 at home this year and they have been pretty bad with their hitting and pitching. The Padres offense is rolling right now and they are going up against Munoz, who has been very inconsistent. I don’t love what I have seen from Waldron in recent outings, but I can’t fade the Padres right now. My Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction is for San Diego to win by at least two runs.