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Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9-20-24 MLB Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (88-64)
September 20, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Diamondbacks pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Arizona played a series versus the Colorado Rockies this week. The Diamondbacks lost the first two games 3-2 and 8-2, then in the finale Arizona powered out the win 9-4. On Thursday versus the Brewers, Arizona scored three runs in the fifth inning during a 5-1 win. Brandon Pfaadt was great in the start with 7.0 innings, one earned, and 12 Ks.

As a starter for Friday’s game, the Diamondbacks will send out Zac Gallen. So far Gallen is 12-6 with a 3.61 ERA in 26 starts. Over his career, Gallen is 51-37 with a 3.28 ERA in 141 starts.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they took on the Philadelphia Phillies in their last set. After a split in the first two games, 6-2 (win) and 5-1 (loss), in the rubber match the Brewers took a 2-1 victory. On Thursday, Milwaukee only managed two team hits in the rough loss. Tobias Myers made the start, lasting 4.0 innings with one earned.

In the starter slot on Friday, the Brewers are going with Colin Rea. So far, Rea is 12-5 with a 4.14 ERA in 29 games (25 starts). Rea is 26-19 with a 4.52 ERA in 91 career games (74 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Brewers’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six Friday night games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (45) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Pavin Smith has hit at least one home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has scored a run in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.544) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (571).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (197).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (840).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (800).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll try Arizona here. Gallen didn’t have the greatest start in his most recent outing versus the Brewers on September 15, giving up three earned on six hits and two walks in 5.0 innings for a no-decision. Prior to that, however, Gallen posted zero earned over 11.0 innings during a pair of wins.

On Thursday, the Diamondbacks had a pretty smooth win thanks to a couple of big innings and a nice effort from the pitching staff. The pen was pretty much perfect behind Pfaadt, so there wasn’t much to complain about. I like Arizona to carry the momentum into Friday’s game.

Andrew's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -135

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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