NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-20-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mets vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Philadelphia took on the Milwaukee Brewers in their last set. After a split in the first pair, in the Thursday rubber match the Phillies lost 2-1. In the opener versus the Mets, the Phillies were out-hit 11-8 in a 10-6 loss. Starter Taijuan Walker lasted 3.1 innings with eight earned runs.

In the starter slot for Friday Philadelphia is going with Christopher Sanchez. So far Sanchez is 10-9 with a 3.24 ERA in 29 starts. In his career, Sanchez is 16-16 with a 3.67 ERA in 70 games (51 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Washington Nationals this week. New York won 2-1 Monday and 10-1 Tuesday. In the finale, the Mets took a 10-0 blowout victory. On Thursday New York scored five in the fourth inning and never looked back. Luis Severino managed 6.0 innings and three earned in the start.

David Peterson will take the start for the Mets on Friday. So far Peterson is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA in 19 starts. Peterson is 27-23 with a 4.10 ERA in 99 career games (83 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Pete Alonso has recorded an RBI in each of the Mets’ last five night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last 11 games against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last 10 appearances in night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 12 road games.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 road games.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Mets.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1158).
• The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (555).
• The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for hits this season (1348).

NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stay with New York. Peterson had a rough outing on September 10 versus the Blue Jays, taking a loss on 4.1 innings, four earned, eight hits, and two walks. In the other two of his last three outings, however, Peterson is a combined 1-0 with two earned in 13.2 total frames.

On Thursday the Mets got the bats moving with four home runs. Those long balls accounted for a whopping nine RBI. If New York can keep it going at the plate Friday they’ll be in great shape.