Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8-17-24 MLB Picks
Cleveland Guardians (72-50) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (70-52)
August 17, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / Cleveland Guardians -105; Over/Under: +7.5
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In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 17th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-52 this year and they have won three games in a row. Milwaukee won the first game in this series by a score of 5-3 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Brewers split four games with the Dodgers, won two out of three against the Reds, and swept the Braves. Milwaukee is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they continue to lead the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 590 runs with a .254 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .252 with 22 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 72-50 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Cleveland dropped the first game in this series and they only managed three runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the Cubs, split four games with the Twins, and lost all three against the Diamondbacks. Cleveland is 5-8 in their last 13 games, but they are leading the AL Central.
The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 562 runs with a .240 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .281 with 32 home runs and 100 RBI’s for the Guardians this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 7-7 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 131.1 innings pitched this year. Peralta has allowed four earned runs in each of his last two starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 10-4 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 127.1 innings pitched this season. Bibee has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts.
Why the Guardians will beat the Brewers
- The Guardians have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games as favorites.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Guardians and Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded an RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Willy Adames has scored at least one run in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 19 appearances with the Brewers as home favorites.
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (37) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has scored a run in each of the Guardians’ last four games against the Brewers.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.320) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (157).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (481).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (941).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this game on a nice little winning streak and they have a huge lead in the NL Central standings. The Brewers are 36-24 at home this year, while the Guardians are 34-30 on the road. Cleveland has been very inconsistent over the last month, but they have played pretty well in their last two series. The Guardians are turning to Tanner Bibee, who has looked great in his last four starts, while Peralta has had issues in his last two outings for Milwaukee. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to win.