Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-15-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 15th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 78-70 this year and they have split their last four games. Minnesota has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 19 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against the Angels, lost all three against the Royals, and split four games with the Rays. Minnesota is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 691 runs with a .249 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .239 with 21 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-77 this season and they have also split their last four games. Cincinnati has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-4 and 11-1. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Cardinals, won a makeup game against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Cincinnati is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 666 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .257 with 24 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Reds this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is David Festa, who is 2-6 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. Festa has allowed two earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who is 1-1 with a 0.59 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this season. Lowder has allowed one earned run in three starts this year (15.1 IP). 

Why the Reds will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Reds’ last eight games at Target Field.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Reds and Twins at Target Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six day games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as favorites against the Reds.
• Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in each of the Reds’ last four games as underdogs against the Twins.
• Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati has won the first two games in this series and they will look to make it three in a row with another win here. The Reds are 37-38 at home this year, while the Twins are 41-33 at home. Cincinnati may be under .500 on the season, but they have played very well over the last couple of weeks. On the other side, the Twins are really struggling right now and I can’t trust their pitching staff to get it done. I like the Reds to get another win here.