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Texas Rangers vs NY Yankees Prediction 4/28/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (19-10) vs. Texas Rangers (14-15)
April 28, 2026 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers +102 / NY Yankees -122; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Cam Schlittler for the start here and Schlittler is 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Schlittler’s first career start against Texas. Jacob deGrom will start here for the Rangers and is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, deGrom is 1-2 with a 3.03 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over Texas last time out to sit at 19-10 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Yankees Win 9 Of Last 10

Entering Monday, Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 28 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 21 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 23 hits with 3 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 24 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 21 hits with 5 doubles as well on the year.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this one looking to rebound from a loss at the hands of the Yankees in Monday’s matchup to sit at 14-15 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Rangers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Going into Monday, Brandon Nimmo has 32 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 12 RBIs while Jake Burger has 25 hits with 4 doubles, 5 home runs and 19 RBIs. Corey Seager has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 6 home runs and 17 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 19 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 4 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 17 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 9 RBIs while Josh Jung has 28 hits with 11 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs as well on the year.

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: April 28, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 2.13
  • Home Record: 1-0
  • Last 5 against Yankees: 1-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rangers have won each of their last eight Tuesday home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Cam Schlittler      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 1.77
  • Road Record: 3-1
  • Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost five of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost the first inning in six of their last eight games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Ten of the Rangers’ last 11 home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Rangers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Trent Grisham has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (109).
  • The Rangers are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (46).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (137).

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I just think this ends up being another low-scoring Globe Life under as we’ve seen a lot of games at this ballpark be this season and over the years. This is a great starting pitching matchup and in the end, I think we get another low-scoring duel. Give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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