Detroit Tigers (11-10) vs. Minnesota Twins (7-12)
April 21, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -110 / Detroit Tigers -110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 21st at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series.
Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 7-12 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Minnesota lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Twins were swept by the Orioles on the road by scores of 7-4, 11-3, and 4-2. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 66 runs with a .194 batting average and a .280 on base percentage. Alex Kirilloff is batting .276 with one home run and four RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Louie Varland, who is 0-3 with an 8.36 ERA and a 2.07 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this season.
Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 11-10 this year and they have lost six of their last nine games. Detroit won game one by a score of 5-4 on Friday and came up just short in their comeback attempt on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost three out of four at home to Texas. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .208 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 79 runs with a .220 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Kerry Carpenter is batting .323 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 0-0 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this year.
Minnesota Twins Team Facts
- The Twins have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against the Tigers following a home win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Team Facts
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 7 innings in 10 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
Minnesota was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Saturday afternoon, but they nearly blew a 4-0 lead in the process. The Twins continue to have issues hitting the ball consistently, but luckily for them, the Tigers are almost just as bad. Detroit has one of the beat team ERA’s in the MLB, but their offense is very inconsistent. Detroit is starting Casey Mize, who has allowed seven earned runs and 15 hits over 15.1 innings in three starts. The Twins are going with Louie Varland, who has allowed 13 earned runs and 24 hits over 14.0 innings in three starts. Varland has had plenty of issues early in the season and I just can’t bring myself to taking the Twins and that offense here. Give me the Tigers.
