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Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 5-30-24 Picks

Kansas City Royals (35-22) vs. Minnesota Twins (30-25)
May 30, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -130 / Kansas City Royals +110; Over/Under: +7.5
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In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 30th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the series. 

Minnesota Going For Series Win 

The Minnesota Twins are 30-25 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Minnesota won games one and two by scores of 6-5 and 4-2, but lost game three on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against Texas, won two out of three against Washington, and were swept by Cleveland. Minnesota has been very streaky so far this season and they are third in the AL Central behind Cleveland and Kansas City. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 241 runs with a .233 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Willi Castro is batting .258 with four home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota is 14th in runs scored this season and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Kansas City Snaps Losing Streak 

The Kansas City Royals are 35-22 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Kansas City dropped the first two games in this series, but they won game three by a score of 6-1 on Wednesday night. Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against Tampa Bay, swept Detroit in three games, and swept Oakland in three games. Kansas City is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are second in the AL Central behind the Guardians. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 276 runs with a .252 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .307 with nine home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City is fourth in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least six runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Brady Singer, who is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this season. Singer has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs and nine hits over 5.0 innings against Seattle three starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 4-2 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. Paddack has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but allowed five earned runs and 12 hits over 5.0 innings against the Yankees three starts ago. 

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The underdogs have won three of the Twins’ last four games.
The Twins have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Twins’ last eight games at Target Field.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Royals’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (133).
The Minnesota Twins are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
The Kansas City Royals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (44).
The Kansas City Royals rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (195).

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City was finally able to get a win in this series on Wednesday, which moved them to .500 on the road this year. Minnesota is 15-13 at home so far this season and they have been very streaky, but they are playing well right now. Kansas City has the better offense and they have the better starting pitcher in my opinion. Singer has been great for most of the season, while Paddack has been good recently, but has some poor numbers. My Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for the Kansas City Royals to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Royals ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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