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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – August 9, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets - August 9, 2022
2022-08-09 19:10:00 EDT

The Cincinnati Reds (44-64) face the New York Mets (71-39) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mike Minor is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Carlos Carrasco is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -305, while the Reds are at +250. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Reds (+120) have a 52-56 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-141) hold a record of 62-48.
  • The Reds have a 53-52-3 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 52 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 57-45-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging +0.5 more at 4.8 runs (4th).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .239 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .259 (4th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 112 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 103 (20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 442 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 503 RBIs to rank 4th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.57 (5th in the Majors), while the Reds are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.99 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 948 this season, ranking T8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 1st for total strikeouts, recording 1048.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Mets this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds’ opponents are at .252 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 18-25-65 14-11-31 4-14-34 9-6-9 9-19-56 0-0-0 2-3-5
  • Mets 35-23-52 24-5-25 11-18-27 29-12-42 6-11-10 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 34-44-30 24-18-14 10-26-16 9-12-3 25-32-27 0-0-0 4-4-2
  • Mets 50-25-35 29-7-18 21-18-17 41-13-29 9-12-6 0-0-0 8-1-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 61-47 in Reds games this season. The Mets have a 51-59 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a shock 5-1 victory over the Reds at Citi Field yesterday. Starling Marte was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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