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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds – July 6, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds - July 6, 2022
2022-07-06 18:40:00 EDT

The New York Mets (50-31) face the Cincinnati Reds (28-52) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. David Peterson is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Graham Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Mets are favored to win at -165, while the Reds are at +140. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Mets (+105) have a 45-36 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-125) hold a record of 35-45.
  • The Mets have a 41-34-6 O/U record this season (meaning 41 games have gone over the total runs line, 34 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 42-35-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging only 4.3 (19th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.0 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 5.5 runs (30th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .255 (ranking 4th in the Major Leagues), while the Reds are batting .238 (19th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 73 (23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 78 (19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 368 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 326 RBIs to rank 18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 5.45 this season (30th in the Majors), while the Mets have an ERA of 3.86 (13th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 759 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 14th for total strikeouts, recording 693.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .258 against the Reds this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets’ opponents are at .235 (12th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Mets 27-20-34 20-4-15 7-16-19 21-9-20 6-11-14 0-0-0 2-2-6
  • Reds 13-18-49 11-8-21 2-10-28 9-14-32 4-4-17 0-0-0 0-3-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Mets 34-22-25 21-6-12 13-16-13 23-12-15 11-10-10 0-0-0 1-3-5
  • Reds 24-35-21 17-15-8 7-20-13 14-27-14 10-8-7 0-0-0 1-5-4

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 33-48 in Mets games this season. The Reds have a 46-34 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded an 1-0 victory over the Mets at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Starling Marte did what he could, hitting a home run.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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