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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins – July 30, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins - July 30, 2022
2022-07-30 18:10:00 EDT

The New York Mets (62-37) face the Miami Marlins (47-53) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday at 6:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Carlos Carrasco is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while the Marlins’ probable pitcher remains unclear.

  • The Mets have a 50-42-7 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 48-48-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.0 (24th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (4th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (16th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .253 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .238 (21st).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 96 (20th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 98 (19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 439 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 380 RBIs to rank 24th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.87 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 3.59 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 944 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T8th for total strikeouts, recording 882.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Marlins this season (10th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets’ opponents are at .232 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Mets 31-21-47 21-4-23 10-17-24 25-10-37 6-11-10 0-0-0 3-1-6
  • Marlins 13-26-61 8-11-27 5-15-34 6-9-31 7-17-30 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Mets 41-24-34 24-6-18 17-18-16 32-12-28 9-12-6 0-0-0 4-1-5
  • Marlins 32-40-28 16-16-14 16-24-14 16-16-14 16-24-14 0-0-0 2-5-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 46-53 in Mets games this season. The Marlins have a 57-43 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 6-4 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Starling Marte was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a triple and recording 3 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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