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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs New York Mets – July 27, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs New York Mets - July 27, 2022
2022-07-27 19:10:00 EDT

The New York Yankees (66-32) face the New York Mets (60-37) at Citi Field on Wednesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Domingo German is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Max Scherzer is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -180, while the Yankees are at +155. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -125 and UNDER at +105.

  • The Yankees (-145) have a 47-51 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+125) hold a record of 52-45.
  • The Yankees have a 49-47-2 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 49-41-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Yankees are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.7 (T5th).
  • In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.3 runs per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .246 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .252 (8th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 95 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 167 (1st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 498 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 430 RBIs to rank T7th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 3.60 this season (6th in the Majors), while The Yankees have an ERA of 3.17 (3rd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 897 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 926.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Mets this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees’ opponents are at .218 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Yankees 29-17-52 15-9-25 14-8-27 28-15-48 1-2-4 0-0-0 3-4-3
  • Mets 31-20-46 21-4-22 10-16-24 25-9-36 6-11-10 0-0-0 3-0-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Yankees 45-29-24 23-12-14 22-17-10 44-27-20 1-2-4 0-0-0 6-3-1
  • Mets 40-23-34 23-6-18 17-17-16 31-11-28 9-12-6 0-0-0 4-0-6

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 51-47 in Yankees games this season. The Mets have a 45-52 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 6-3 victory over the Yankees at Citi Field yesterday. Starling Marte was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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