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MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals – September 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals - September 5, 2022
2022-09-05 16:15:00 EDT

The Washington Nationals (46-87) face the St. Louis Cardinals (78-55) at Busch Stadium on Monday at 4:15pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Anibal Sanchez is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Jack Flaherty is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals. The Cardinals are favored to win at -245, while the Nationals are at +205. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Nationals (-106) have a 58-75 Run Line record this season, while the Cardinals (-115) hold a record of 76-57.
  • The Nationals have a 64-64-5 O/U record this season (meaning 64 games have gone over the total runs line, 64 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Cardinals have a 65-64-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Cardinals are averaging +1.2 more at 5.0 runs (2nd).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.4 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Cardinals are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (8th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Cardinals are batting .258 (6th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Cardinals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 169 to rank 6th. Alternatively, the Nationals are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 113 (27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cardinals have been outstanding this season, recording 634 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Nationals have performed poorly in this area, recording only 480 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cardinals have an earned run average of 3.78 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 5.09 (30th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 1037 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 29th for total strikeouts, recording 967.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .245 against the Cardinals this season (17th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals’ opponents are at .265 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 30-35-68 14-17-38 16-18-30 6-4-8 24-31-60 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Cardinals 37-27-69 23-9-34 14-18-35 27-12-38 10-15-31 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 34-72-27 14-39-16 20-33-11 7-9-2 27-63-25 0-0-0 2-5-3
    Cardinals 54-46-33 34-20-12 20-26-21 37-27-13 17-19-20 0-0-0 5-3-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 65-68 in Nationals games this season. The Cardinals have a 64-69 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cardinals recorded a 5-0 victory over the Nationals at Nationals Park when these teams last met on July 31. Corey Dickerson was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 3 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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