Atlanta Braves (69-83) vs. Washington Nationals (62-90)
September 17, 2025 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals 128 / Atlanta Braves -157; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 17th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 62-90 this year after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 3-11, 3-6, and 0-5. In their game three loss, Washington pitched a gem, but couldn’t score over 10 innings in the extra innings loss. The Nationals recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Crews, who went 2-4 in the game. Washington started Gore, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Thompson picked up the loss in extras.
Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Pirates and split four games with the Marlins. Washington has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 643 runs with a .243 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 5-8 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 69-83 this season after they won game three by a score of 5-0 on Tuesday night. Atlanta managed to make it to extra innings, despite being shutout, before scoring five in the 10th for the victory. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 1-5 with three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Sale, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings, while Kinley picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Cubs. Atlanta has won four games in a row and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 668 runs with a .244 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 27 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Hurston Waldrep, who is 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Nationals
- The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Nationals after going to extra innings.
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games after going to extra innings.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following an extra innings loss.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last five games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Nationals’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six games.
Nationals vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta has won the first three games in this series and they have scored 22 runs in those three victories. The Braves are 33-44 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 31-46 at home. Washington is really struggling with their pitching this year and they are starting Lord, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts. Atlanta is going with Waldrep, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five, but did get roughed up last time out. I really like how Waldrep has looked for most of his outings this year and Atlanta has a ton of momentum. Take the Braves -1.5 here.
