
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9-11-23 MLB Picks
New York Mets (65-77) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (75-69)
2023-09-11 19:10:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -140 / Arizona Diamondbacks +129 --- Over/Under: 9
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The Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets meet in game one of their four-game series in MLB action from Citi Field on Monday night.
Diamondbacks Fail To Complete Sweep
The Arizona Diamondbacks nearly pulled off a four-game sweep of the Cubs over the weekend, but fell short thanks to a 5-2 loss in Sunday’s series finale. The loss dropped the D-Backs to 75-69 on the year, holding on to the final spot in the NL Wild Card race. Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 30 home runs and 91 RBIs while Ketel Marte has a team-high 141 hits and a .275 batting average. Corbin Carroll also has 24 home runs and a team-high 47 stolen bases with a .284 batting average, and is the leading candidate for Rookie of the Year in the National League. Zach Davies will start for the Diamondbacks here and is 2-5 with a 6.81 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts
- The Diamondbacks have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Citi Field.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 7 innings in each of their last 11 Monday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Mets Avoid Sweep Vs. Twins
The New York Mets managed to avoid the sweep by taking down the Minnesota Twins on Sunday by a final count of 2-0. The win brought the Mets to 65-77 on the year, sitting 9 games back in the NL Wild Card race. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 43 home runs and 103 RBIs while Jeff McNeil has a team-best 139 hits with a .265 batting average. Francisco Lindor also has 26 home runs and 85 RBIs for the Mets this season as well as a team-best 32 doubles. Jose Quintana will get the start for the Mets here and is 2-5 with a 3.00 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Team Facts
- The Mets have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Mets have covered the run line each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five night games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Monday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Mets ranks 29th in the league for doubles this season (188).
- The New York Mets ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (1113).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 2nd in the league for triples this season (38).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 3rd in the league for steals this season (146).
Chris’ Pick
I get the case to be made for the Mets as Quintana has pitched fairly well for New York since assuming a spot in the rotation. However, the Diamondbacks are the only team playing for anything of consequence at this point in the season and I just don’t see this as a game where either starter factors into the decision. Arizona’s bullpen has actually been decent in recent weeks and I think they do enough to get a win on the ML here. Give me Arizona.