NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-31-24 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Minnesota took on the Detroit Tigers in their last series. The Twins were able to win two of three games in that set. On Monday versus the Mets, the Twins took a 15-2 blowout loss. On Tuesday Minnesota took another loss, this time a shutout 2-0. David Festa lasted 5.0 innings with two earned in the start.

In the starter role Wednesday the Twins are going with Pablo Lopez. This year Lopez is 9-7 with a 4.73 ERA in 21 starts. Lopez is 48-46 with a 3.99 ERA in 147 career starts. The Twins will face the White Sox following this series.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they won two of four games versus the Atlanta Braves in their series last weekend. After their blowout opener win, on Tuesday New York got a nice start from Sean Manaea with 7.0 clean frames and 11 strikeouts.

The Mets are going to send out Luis Severino in the start Wednesday. So far this year Severino is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 20 starts. Severino is 61-40 with a 3.76 ERA in 161 career games (145 starts).

Mets vs Twins Pick Injury Notes

Twins SS Carlos Correa (heel) participated in hitting drills and worked out on a treadmill over the weekend.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Ben Gamel has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in 21 of his last 22 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Luis Severino has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets’ last eight day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Pablo Lopez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in each of the Twins’ last three games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances.
• Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in nine of his last 12 appearances with the Twins as road favorites.
• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.

NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll go with the Mets here. Severino is cruising along well these days. In his last three starts combined, Severino is 2-0 with four earned runs in 17.2 total innings. As for Lopez, he’s doing well himself, with five earned in 19.0 innings over his last three starts. Should be a fun matchup.

On Tuesday, the Mets only notched five team hits, but it was enough behind a stellar pitching performance. Following Manaea, the bullpen gave up no hits and just one walk over 2.0 innings. I’d like to see some more action from the bats on Wednesday, but New York should be in good shape regardless.