Orioles vs. Pirates Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23
Pittsburgh Pirates (21-17) vs. Baltimore Orioles (24-13)
May 12, 2023 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -155 / Pittsburgh Pirates +135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Baltimore Orioles meet in MLB action from Camden Yards on Friday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Baltimore is listed as a -155 home favorite while Pittsburgh is a +135 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Johan Oviedo will start here for Pittsburgh and is 2-3 with a 5.59 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Kyle Bradish will start for the Orioles and is 1-1 with 5.95 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Pittsburgh’s 8-1 win back on August 7th, 2022, snapped Baltimore’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.
Trends
Pittsburgh is 70-147 in their last 217 road games and 23-56 in their last 79 interleague games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 series-opening games. Baltimore is 8-2 in their last 10 home games and 20-8 in their last 28 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record.
Pick
I think this game is all about the lesser of two evils, I trust Oviedo as a starter more than I do Bradish, but the thing for me is that the Pirates are in freefall right now after such a strong start to the season. The Orioles have had blips here and there, but for the most part, the O’s have been consistently solid from opening day onward and I think this is definitely a team to watch as we move into the middle of the season. Not a price I love to lay with Bradish, but there’s no backing the Pirates until they turn it around. Give me the O’s here.