San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4-28-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 28th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

Padres Look to Snap Losing Streak

The San Diego Padres are 14-16 this year and they have lost three games in a row and four of their last five. San Diego has dropped the first two games in this series and their pitching staff needs to be better. Prior to this series, the Padres split a four game set with the lowly Rockies and lost two out of three to the Blue Jays. San Diego has been a pretty inconsistent team to start this season, but they are second in the NL West standings. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 143 runs with a .253 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .243 with six home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Padres. San Diego has only scored four runs through the first two games in this series, while also allowing 33 runs in their last five games. The Padres are just 21st in team ERA this year and tied for 17th in team WHIP. 

Phillies Try for Sweep

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-10 this season and they have won 10 of their last 12 games. Philadelphia has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 9-3. Prior to this series, the Phillies split a four game set with the Reds, but did sweep the White Sox and Rockies. Philadelphia has been scoring a bunch of runs in recent games and they are in second place in the NL East, just 1.5 games behind Atlanta for first. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .212 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 127 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .354 with four home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Phillies. Philadelphia has scored at least five runs in nine of their last 11 games, and they are 14th in runs scored this season. On the other side, the Phillies have been very strong with their pitching staff, allowing three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 2-2 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched this year. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his five starts this year, but has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is making his first start of the year. Walker was 15-6 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 172.2 innings pitched for the Phillies last season. 

San Diego Padres Team Facts

• The Padres have won each of their last five day games following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games.
• The Padres have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia looks to stay hot and pick up a series sweep in this matchup, and they are 8-4 on the road this year. San Diego is just 6-10 at home this season and their pitching staff has really struggled in recent games. The Padres are turning towards to Michael King to give them a boost, but he has been roughed up in two of his last three outings. The Phillies are hoping Walker comes off of the IL with a strong start, but you never know how that first outing is going to go. I know the Phillies are hot right now, but my San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Padres to avoid the sweep and pick up the win.