Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction 4/3/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 3rd at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 3-3 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 3-0 on Wednesday night. Baltimore couldn’t find any offense in the game, and they recorded just four hits in the loss. The Orioles were led by Westburg, Mountcastle, Laureano, and Urias, who all had one hit in the game. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed three earned runs and eight hits over 6.0 innings, while Baker, Soto, and Perez combined for three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. Baltimore did win game one in this series by a score of 8-5. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles split four games with the Blue Jays by scores of 12-2, 2-8, 9-5, and 1-3. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 32 runs with a .281 batting average and a .341 on-base percentage this year. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with two home runs and 10 RBIs, while Tyler O’Neill has added one home run and five RBIs in the season. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Charlie Morton, who is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and a 2.40 WHIP over 3.1 innings pitched this year. The Orioles will meet the Royals, Diamondbacks, Blue Jays, Guardians, and Reds next.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 2-4 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-0 on Wednesday. Boston scored one run in the second and two in the fifth, while they got a great pitching performance for the shutout win. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Devers, Story, and Rafaela, who all had one RBI in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed zero earned runs and four hits over 8.0 innings for the win, while Chapman earned the save in the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost three out of four games against the Rangers by scores of 5-2, 1-4, 3-4, and 2-3. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 19 runs with a .217 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with two home runs and six RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added three RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The road team has won 12 of the Orioles’ last 16 games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The favorites have covered the run line in five of the last six games between the Red Sox and Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Charlie Morton has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jordan Westburg has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as road favorites against the Orioles.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Orioles.
• Trevor Story has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against the Orioles.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Orioles.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Orioles.

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston was able to get a great pitching performance from Crochet on Wednesday night for the shutout win, and they will go for the series win here. The Red Sox haven’t been a great offensive team so far this year, and they will be starting Houck, who allowed four earned runs to the Rangers in his first outing. Baltimore has scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games, and they will turn to Morton, who allowed four earned runs to the Blue Jays in just 3.1 innings in his first outing. I know Houck struggled last time out, but we have to fade Morton after how we saw him pitch in Toronto. Take the Red Sox here.