Padres vs Braves Prediction 3/30/25 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out AJ Smith-Shawver for the start here and Smith-Shawver was 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts last season. This will be Smith-Shawver’s first career start against San Diego. The San Diego Padres will trot out Nick Pivetta for the start here and Pivetta was 6-12 with a 4.14 ERA and 172 strikeouts last season. In his five starts against the Braves, Pivetta is 2-3 with a 6.33 ERA and 26 strikeouts.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves will try to salvage something from this series and avoid the sweep after a 1-0 loss at the hands of the Padres on Saturday. After this game, the Braves will head to Dodger Stadium for a series with the Dodgers to start the new week.

Braves Trying To Salvage Win

Matt Olson had a double while Jurickson Profar, Jarred Kelenic, Drake Baldwin and Matt Olson all had base hits as well as the Braves cranked out just five hits as a team in the losing effort. The Rest of the Braves’ lineup went 0 for 12 at the dish and as a team, the Braves went 0 for 6 with runners in scoring position. Spencer Schwellenbach went 6 innings of one-hit shutout baseball striking out four and not factoring in the decision. Aaron Bummer took the loss, falling to 0-1 on the year as a result.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Padres’ last four games at Petco Park.
• The Padres have lost four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances at Petco Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight day games.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored a run in five of his six previous appearances at Petco Park.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Braves as underdogs against the Padres.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.615) this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will be out to complete the four-game sweep of the set after their victory over the Braves on Saturday. After this game, the Padres will welcome the Cleveland Guardians to town.

Padres Looking For Strong Start To Season With Sweep

Yuli Gurriel put up the Padres’ lone RBI in the winning effort in a pinch-hit effort while Jake Cronenworth had a double and Jackson Merrill and Fernando Tatis Jr. each had a base hit to cap off San Diego’s offense as the Padres’ offense combined for just four hits in the win. Randy Vasquez went six innings of four-hit shutout ball with three strikeouts and four walks, not factoring in the decision. Wandy Peralta got the win to improve to 2-0 on the year while Adrian Morejon picked up his first save of the year.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have lost each of their last seven games against NL West opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six day games at Petco Park following a win.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last six games as home favorites.
• Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Padres’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against the Braves.
• Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 25 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (2) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Padres’ last 11 games as favorites against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Braves’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Padres here. I get the case to be made for Atlanta here, as I’m high on this Braves team this season, but the problem for Atlanta is that they’ve just gotten out of the gate really slow so far this season, and until the Braves get back on track, it’s hard to back them. Smith-Shawver isn’t a top-end option in my opinion and I think that the Padres’ offense does enough to complete the sweep here. Give me San Diego in this one.