Padres vs Dodgers Prediction 5/18/26 MLB Picks Today
LA Dodgers (29-18) vs. San Diego Padres (28-18)
May 18, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres 128 / LA Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Dodgers Pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 29-18 on the year and play the Rockies and Brewers next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .264 on the season and have a .345 OBP, and a .433 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Andy Pages leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 52 hits and 41 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Kyle Tucker have combined for 87 hits and 43 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 1-2 with a 6.38 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 28-18 on the year and play the Phillies and Athletics next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 224 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and have a .371 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Xander Bogaerts leads the San Diego Padres with 43 hits and 23 RBI, while Miguel Andujar and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 76 hits and 29 RBI.
Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. King is 2-0 with a 2.82 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against the Padres following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last five games.
- The Padres have lost each of their last five night games following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Dodgers’ last seven games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Padres’ last nine home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last five appearances as a starter.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Campusano has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Andy Pages has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 14 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Andy Pages ranks T10th in the league in Hits (52) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (339).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.224).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.345).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (417).
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers are back to their winning ways where the offense is on a tear and theyre going to be obvious favorites with Yamamoto on the bump. However, the value is with the Padres and the plus money, a team that’s looked like a legit contender up to this point. King has also held his own with a 2.63 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, and he has a 2.35 ERA and .171 allowed batting average in 23 home innings. The Padres are too good of a team to turn down as a home dog regardless of opponent. Give me the home dog.