
Padres vs Nationals Prediction 6/24/25 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (33-46) vs. San Diego Padres (42-36)
June 24, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -169 / Washington Nationals 138; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 24, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals (33-46, 17-22 Away) lost six straight series after falling to the Cubs, Rangers, Mets, Marlins, Rockies, and Dodgers. A good sign for the Nats is that they won three of the last five games after defeating the San Diego Padres 10-6 in Game 1 on Monday. James Wood led the offense with four RBI, while Mitchell Parker got the win after allowing three runs on six hits with one strikeout and two walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Nationals average 4.22 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .241/.308/.391 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Nationals’ staff has a 4.99 ERA (28th) and 1.38 WHIP (24th). James Wood leads the Nationals with a .284 batting average, 22 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Nationals is Trevor Williams, who is 3-8 in 15 starts this season, with a 5.54 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 74.2 innings.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (42-36, 23-14 Home) lost three consecutive series to the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Dodgers again, but responded with a win against the Kansas City Royals. The Padres couldn’t make it three in a row after losing 10-6 to the Washington Nationals in Game 1 last night. Fernando Tatis Jr. led the offense with a three-run homer, while Stephen Kolek took the loss after allowing five runs (four earned) on five hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 4.1 innings.
This season, the Padres average 4.22 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .249/.316/.379 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.58 ERA (8th) and 1.22 WHIP (10th). Manny Machado leads the Padres with a .303 batting average, 13 home runs, and 47 RBI this season.
Ryan Bergert will take the mound for the Padres on Tuesday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1-0 record in four starts this year with a 1.88 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 24.0 innings.
Why the Padres will beat the Nationals
- The Padres have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last five games following a win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday night games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Nationals and Padres at Petco Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight Tuesday night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Padres’ last six games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (68).
- The Padres rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (590).
- The Nationals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (591).
- The Nationals rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (702).
Padres vs Nationals Prediction
The Padres won six of the previous ten H2H encounters and were on a six-game winning streak before last night’s Washington win. I am backing San Diego to get a W in this one because I like Ryan Bergert better than Trevor Williams. Bergert is posting a 2.25 ERA since he became a starter in June, and I am backing him to keep the Nats below three runs on Tuesday. Williams, on the other hand, wasn’t bad in his previous three starts, but he averaged over 5.00 ERA in each month this season, and following Monday’s loss, I believe the Padres will bounce back and trouble Washington’s starter early on. Back the Padres.