MLB Picks

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/10/23

Toronto Blue Jays (21-15) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (17-19)
May 10, 2023 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -110 / Toronto Blue Jays -110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

This game is lined as a coin flip with -110 odds on both sides. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto here and is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Philadelphia will start Zack Wheeler in this one and he is 3-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Philadelphia’s 8-4 win over Toronto on Tuesday made it back-to-back wins for the Phillies in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Toronto is 13-6 in their last 19 interleague games and 16-7 in their last 23 games against the NL East while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. Philadelphia is 38-18 in their last 56 home games and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.

Pick

I’m backing the over here. I’m just not trusting the starting pitching matchup as both starters are fully capable of getting chased here and the thing about Kevin Gausman is that on the road this season, he’s been pretty much all or nothing. You either get a top-tier effort or he gives up eight runs in the start like he’s done twice this season. I think we could easily get another disaster here so give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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