Phillies vs Braves Prediction 5/28/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 28th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 35-19 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. Philadelphia scored once in the second inning, and they added an insurance run in the eighth to seal the win. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kepler and Realmuto, who both had one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Romano got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Athletics and swept the Rockies in four games. Philadelphia has won 10 of its last 11 games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 262 runs with a .259 batting average and a .336 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 18 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 6-1 with a 2.42 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 25-28 this year after they lost game one in this series on Tuesday. Atlanta held the dynamic Philadelphia lineup to just two runs, but couldn’t find any offense of their own in the loss. The Braves recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Acuna, Ozuna, and Albies, who all had one hit and one walk in the loss. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Hernandez allowed two hits and one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Padres and both games against the Nationals. Atlanta has lost five of their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 216 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 12 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added eight home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is AJ Smith-Shawver, who is 3-2 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Braves

• The Phillies have won each of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Braves’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to win a low-scoring game on Tuesday night to start this series, and they continue to hold a slim lead over the Mets in the NL East. The Phillies are 18-8 at home this year, while the Braves are 9-19 on the road. Atlanta has really struggled over the last week, and their offense has been very inconsistent. The Braves are starting Smith-Shawver, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did get roughed up last time out. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has allowed a grand total of zero earned runs in his last 19.2 innings. Take Philadelphia to get another important win at home.