Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-29 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-3 and 4-8. In their game two loss, Philadelphia led 4-3 in the fifth inning, but failed to score in the final four innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Bohm and Kepler, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Philadelphia started Abel, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Walker was charged with the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Philadelphia has lost six of its last seven games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 305 runs with a .253 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 5-2 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 41-26 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-4 on Tuesday night. Chicago trailed 4-3 in the fifth inning, but they scored twice in the sixth and three more times in the eighth to pull away in the win. The Cubs recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Happ, who went 2-3 with two home runs and three RBIs in the win. Chicago started Rea, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Thielbar picked up the win, and Keller got a hold. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Chicago has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 374 runs with a .258 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 17 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 16 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ben Brown, who is 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Cubs

• The Cubs have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have won each of their last four home games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Wednesday games against National League opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Cubs’ last six games.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Why the Cubs will beat the Phillies

• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have won five of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Cubs and Phillies.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Cubs’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Cubs’ last 12 day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites against the Cubs.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against former teams.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Cubs.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Cubs.
• J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of his last four Wednesday appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Cubs’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
• Ian Happ has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL East opponents.

Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 

Philadelphia was unable to hold two different leads in game two of this series on Tuesday, for a loss, and they are in desperate need of a series win here. The Phillies are 20-13 at home this season, while the Cubs are 21-15 on the road. Chicago is trying to avoid their second straight series loss, and they are starting Brown, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 13.0 innings. The Phillies are going with Luzardo, who has allowed 20 earned runs in his last two starts (5.2 IP). I have very little faith in either one of these pitchers, and I think we will see plenty of runs, so take the over here.