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Pirates vs Twins Prediction 5/31/26 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (27-32) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (31-28)
May 31, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -163 / Minnesota Twins 135; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Twins Prediction. This article will include a Pirates vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 27-32 on the year and play the White Sox and Royals next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .236 on the season and have a .318 OBP and a .385 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 54 hits and 27 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 97 hits and 49 RBI.

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 1-2 with a 2.37 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-28 on the year and play the Braves and Astros next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .253 on the season and have a .335 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Oneil Cruz leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 60 hits and 40 RBIs, while Nick Gonzales and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 117 hits and 62 RBIs.

Braxton Ashcraft gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 4-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Ashcraft’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five day games following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games following a road loss.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last five games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Pirates have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 home games against American League opponents.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Pirates have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Twins’ last six games at PNC Park.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins’ last six road games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Pirates’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last nine games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six day games against American League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last five games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight games.
  • Oneil Cruz ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Victor Caratini has recorded a hit in each of his last seven road appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (518).
  • The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (545).
  • The Twins rank 25th in the league for runs allowed this season (287).
  • The Twins rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (517).

Pirates vs Twins Prediction

You can consider the under in this spot, as both pitchers have been dealing. The problem is the Twins are having a rough week where they can’t finish games, and while Matthews has been solid, he has just 19 innings under his belt. Ashcraft has 68.2 innings this season, with a 2.75 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 70 strikeouts. Ashcraft could be an all-star in his second season, as he’s also allowed just 7 runs in his last 34.2 innings. Give me the Pirates and the somewhat reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -163

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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