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Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction 7-8-24 Picks

NY Mets (43-44) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (42-46)
July 8, 2024 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -109 / NY Mets -110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 8th at PNC Park. 

Mets Complete Comeback

The Mets game on Sunday wasn’t their best of the season, but they were able to score two runs in the top of the 9th to secure the win. Francisco Lindor finished with three hits and two RBIs. The Mets are averaging 4.94 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 25th in the league. They are batting .247 as a team, which is 11th in the league. Pete Alonso has hit 18 home runs and driven in 48 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Mets will be Christian Scott, who sits with an 0-2 record and an ERA of 4.32. In his last start against the Washington Nationals, he went 5.2 innings, giving up six hits and four runs. 

Why The Mets Will Beat the Pirates

  • The Mets have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Pirates have lost four of their last five-day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites following a loss.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Pirates Offense Needs to be Better

The Pirates pitching was actually pretty good on Sunday, but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing 3-2. The Pirates scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th, but they quickly gave that back and ended up losing. The Pirates are averaging 4.09 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.41 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 17th. Bryan Reynolds has hit 16 home runs and driven in 54 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller, who sits with a 9-5 record and an ERA of 3.48. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went five innings giving up nine hits and six runs. The Pirates will meet the Brewers and White Sox after this series.

Why the Pirates Will Beat the Mets

  • The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mets have lost 11 of their last 13 day games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction

Neither offense was all that good on Sunday, and it’s going to be no different in this game. Keller especially has been strong this season, and the Mets offense is going to really struggle to get any quality at bats off of him here. The Pirates bats might score a few runs off of Scott, but it won’t be the strongest game, and this game is going to still end up being lower scoring. Back the under to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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