Rays vs Athletics Prediction 8/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Athletics Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 11^th at the Sutter Health Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 53-67 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 23-34 home record and are 59-55 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Orioles, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and are playing the Angels and the Twins next.

The Athletics have a .254 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .432 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Brent Rooker leads the Athletics with 129 hits, adding a team-high 70 RBI and 24 home runs. Jacob Wilson is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average.

Jeffrey Springs (L) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 10-7 record, 3.89 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 57-62 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL East. The Rays have a 25-32 road record and are 47-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-6 road defeat by the Mariners, and are 3-8 in their last 11 games. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Giants and the Athletics next.

The Rays have a .250 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .399 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.  Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 123 hits, while Jonathan Aranda is the team’s best hitter with .316 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI, with 80 and in home runs, with 32.

Ryan Pepiot (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 7-9 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last eight Monday road games against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have won eight of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Monday games against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.
• The Athletics have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Athletics have lost each of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Athletics following a road loss.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Athletics following a loss.
• The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Monday home games.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Athletics’ last nine home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against the Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rays’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Athletics’ last eight home games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Athletics rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1043).
• The Athletics rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (170).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (149).
• The Rays rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (177).

Rays vs Athletics Prediction

The Athletics are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Rays, having won their only previous series this season on the road with 2-1 wins. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Rays vs Athletics Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Both teams have almost identical overall records and similar home/away splits. Pepiot has been weaker on the road for the Rays with a 4.19 ERA, and has been struggling lately, with a 1-4 record and 5.53 ERA in his last five starts. On the flip side, Springs is coming off back-to-back starts with just one earned run, and the Rays are terrible against lefties. The edge here is with the home team, so take the A’s to take care of business at home.