Rays vs Brewers Prediction 4/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, April 1^st in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 4-1 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 4-1 home record and are coming off a 6-2 home win over the Rays. Their previous three games were a 3-2 home loss to the Rays, a 9-7 home win, and a 6-1 home win over the White Sox.

The Brewers have a .286 batting average this season, .394 OBP and .464 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.00 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Brice Turang is the team’s best hitter with a .400 batting average. Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI with 5, and Gary Sanchez adds a team-high two home runs.

Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.80 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 2-3 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL East. They have a 2-3 road record and are coming off a 6-2 road loss to the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 3-2 road win over the Brewers, an 11-7 road win, and a 6-5 road loss to the Cardinals.

The Rays have a .293 batting average this season, .348 OBP and .420 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 5.61 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .458 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 6. Jonathan Aranda adds a team-high two home runs.

Drew Rasmussen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 0-0 record, 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: April 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.80
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Rays: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 home games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have lost 20 of their last 24 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games following a loss.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Brewers have lost six of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have won four of their last five Wednesday games as underdogs.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• David Hamilton ranks T1st in the league in Steals (3) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five Wednesday appearances.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Wednesday appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz ranks 1st in the league in Hits (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (35).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.464).
• The Rays rank T1st in the league for hits this season (55).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.293).

Rays vs Brewers Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.

In this Rays vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -150 home favorites. The Brewers bounced back after their first loss of the season with a 6-2 win yesterday but they have face Drew Rasmussen, who gave up just one run in his first start of the season. Misiorowski is also coming off a quality start but it was against the White Sox, so take that with a grain of salt. I think the Rays have a chance here with Rasmussen on the mound, so take them on the moneyline for plus money.