Milwaukee Brewers (19-21) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (18-21)
May 11, 2025 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -142 / Milwaukee Brewers 120; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 11, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (19-21, 7-14 Away) won the previous series against the Houston Astros but will lose the current one against the Rays. The only uncertain thing is whether the Brewers will avoid being swept after losing the opening two games. In Saturday’s 3-2 defeat, Tobias Myers pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on three hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Grant Anderson took the loss.
This year, the Brewers average 4.50 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .234/.312/.355 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 4.20 ERA (21st) and 1.33 WHIP (22nd). Jackson Chourio leads the Brewers with a .266 batting average, seven home runs, and 25 RBI this season.
Chad Patrick will take the mound for the Brewers on Sunday. 26-year-old right-hander has a 2-3 record in seven starts this year with a 3.08 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 38.0 innings.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (18-21, 11-16 Home) were swept by the Philadelphia Phillies in the previous series and now have an opportunity to record a series sweep with another win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Rays won 4-3 and 3-2 in the opening two games. Travis Jankowski led the team in the latest one with two RBI, while Taj Bradley pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with five strikeouts and one walk. Pete Fairbanks was credited with the win.
This season, the Rays average 3.79 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .241/.309/.361 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.74 ERA (11th) and 1.19 WHIP (8th). Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a .244 batting average, six home runs, and 20 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Drew Rasmussen, who is 1-3 in seven starts this season, with a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 35.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rays’ last seven day games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.361).
- The Rays rank T25th in the league for home runs allowed this season (52).
- The Brewers rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.355).
- The Brewers rank T24th in the league for doubles this season (52).
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
The teams traded wins in the last couple of years, each recording five of the previous ten H2H encounters. Both teams played more low-scoring than high-scoring games this season, but I am going with Over in this one because I believe the starters will surrender 3+ runs each. Chad Patrick surrendered three runs in each of his last two starts, while Drew Rasmussen allowed 3+ runs in his previous three starts. Go with Over.
