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Rays vs Marlins Prediction 6/7/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (23-38) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (34-29)
June 7, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -149 / Miami Marlins 123; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 7th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-29 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 4-3 on Friday. Tampa Bay had their lead cut from 4-1 to 4-3 in the eighth inning, but they were able to hang on for the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Aranda, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Littell, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Rays swept the Rangers in three games and split four games with the Astros. Tampa Bay has won four games in a row, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 274 runs with a .247 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 15 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 12 home runs and 33 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 23-38 this season after they lost game one in this series on Friday afternoon. Miami had a bunch of hits in the game, but they were held to just one run in the first seven innings, which wasn’t enough for the loss. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Lopez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Cabrera, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Soriano allowed four hits and one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost all three games against the Rockies and two out of three against the Giants. Miami has lost five games in a row, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.00 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 243 runs with a .248 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added eight home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is 1-1 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Marlins

  • The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as favorites.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last five games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home day games.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Rays

  • The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Marlins’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four home games against the Marlins.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of the Rays’ last six day games.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Rays as favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Rays.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as road underdogs.
  • Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as road underdogs.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL opponents.

Rays vs Marlins Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to extend its winning streak with a win in game one of this series, while Miami has now lost five games in a row. The Marlins are 9-18 on the road this year, while the Rays are 22-19 at home. Tampa Bay is starting Bradley, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Miami is going with Weathers, who has pitched well this season, but did allow four earned runs in his last start. This Miami team is really struggling to score runs, and we have seen a bunch of these night games in Tampa Bay go under, so I am taking the under here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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