Toronto Blue Jays (8-5) vs. Boston Red Sox (6-7)
April 10, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -115 / Toronto Blue Jays -105; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 10, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays (8-5, 3-3 Away) split the opening series of the season with the Orioles, swept the Nationals, suffered a sweep against the Mets, and now are a step away from sweeping the Red Sox. Toronto won the first three games, including the last night’s one in two extra innings, 2-1. Bo Bichette drove in a winning RBI, while Kevin Gausman was great through 8.0 innings; he allowed one run (not earned) on four hits with ten strikeouts and no walks. Jeff Hoffman was credited with a win.
This year, the Blue Jays average 3.92 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .264/.346/.368 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 3.66 ERA (12th) and 1.15 WHIP (6th). George Springer leads the Blue Jays with a .447 batting average, two home runs, and nine RBI this season.
Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the Blue Jays on Thursday. The 36-year-old righty has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 0.71 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 12.2 innings of work.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox (6-7, 3-3 Home) are playing in waves early in the season. They responded to a four-game losing skid with five consecutive wins and now are on a three-game losing streak. So far, the Red Sox lost to the Rangers, beat the Orioles, and swept the Cardinals, and will try to salvage the current series against Toronto. Tanner Houck pitched for 6.2 innings in a no-decision last night, allowing one run on five hits with two strikeouts and two walks. Josh Winckowski took a loss.
This season, the Red Sox average 5.50 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .268/.345/.416 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Red Sox’ staff has a 4.37 ERA (18th) and 1.43 WHIP (26th). Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with a .378 batting average, three home runs, and 12 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Walker Buehler, who has a 1-1 record in two starts this year with a bloated 8.68 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 9.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.273).
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (121).
- The Blue Jays rank T25th in the league for steals this season (5).
- The Blue Jays rank T6th in the league for strikeouts this season (116).
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last four. All four produced below 8.5 runs, which was the case in seven of ten H2Hs, and I am going with Under in this one as well. We know that Walker Buehler is way better than what we saw from him in the first two games in the Red Sox uniform. I expect him to bounce back on Thursday and log a quality start. Buehler allowed a .188 BA in 16 at-bats against the Blue Jays in his career. Chris Bassitt has been phenomenal early in the season, and even if he allows multiple runs here, I still think he will have a solid start. Back the Under.
