Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 33-36 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 8-10 and 3-1. In their game two win, Boston had their lead cut to 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they added an insurance run in the sixth to secure the win. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Anthony, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Weissert picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that. Boston has split their last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 341 runs with a .255 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 14 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Walker Buehler, who is 4-4 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 48.2 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-31 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-1 on Tuesday night. Tampa Bay scored their lone run in the fifth inning, but they stranded a runner at third in that same inning in the loss. The Rays recorded just three hits, and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Diaz, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Tampa Bay started Pepiot, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Englert pitched 2.1 scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Marlins and swept the Rangers in three games. Tampa Bay has won six of its last eight games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 298 runs with a .245 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 36 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 6-5 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Rays will beat the Red Sox

• The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four games against AL East opponents.
• Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his 10 previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 Wednesday games at Fenway Park.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last three Wednesday games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of the Rays’ last six games against AL East opponents.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 

Boston was able to tie the series at one with a win on Tuesday night, and they have won three of their last four games. The Red Sox are 18-17 at home this year, while the Rays are 13-11 on the road. Boston has scored at least six runs in four of their last five games, and they are going against Littell, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Rays have been super inconsistent at the plate over their last five games, and they are facing Buehler, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 17 hits in his last 7.2 innings. I can’t back Buehler with how he has looked recently, so give me the Rays here.