Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 6/9/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-30 on the year and play the Mets, Orioles, and Tigers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .246 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Junior Caminero leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 62 hits and 40 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Yandy Diaz have combined for 122 hits and 70 RBI.

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 5-3 with a 4.96 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Baz is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 32-35 on the year and play the Yankees, Mariners, and Giants next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .255 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 78 hits and 37 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Alex Bergman have combined for 130 hits and 92 RBI.

Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-1 with a 3.91 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Bello is 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The home team has won six of the Rays’ last seven games.
• The Rays have lost five of their last six road games following a win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Rays.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won 10 of the last 12 games between the Rays and Red Sox.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park following a win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as favorites.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against the Rays.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran ranks T4th in the league in Hits (78) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of the Rays’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.320) this season.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

The Rays have been one of the best teams over the last month, but I’m not excited to get behind Baz, who has allowed 46 hits and 28 runs in his last 36 innings. Baz has had an issue keeping the ball in the park, and he’s had issues with walks at times. The Red Sox are coming off a successful series against the Yankees, and while Bello has been up and down this season, he is a young, promising pitcher who brings upside. I’ll give the Red Sox the edge at home, mainly due to Baz and his struggles.