Royals vs Mets Prediction 7/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 46-50 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 3-8 and 1-3. In their game two loss, Kansas City cut the deficit to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find any more offense in the loss. The Royals recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by India, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the loss. Kansas City started Zerpa, who pitched one scoreless inning, while Bowlan picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Royals swept the Pirates in three games and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Kansas City has won six of its last nine games, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 325 runs with a .244 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 15 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 14 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Noah Cameron, who is 3-4 with a 2.56 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 63.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 55-41 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-1 on Saturday afternoon. New York led 2-0 in the fourth inning, and they added an insurance run in the ninth to secure the victory. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. New York started Montas, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Yankees before that. New York has won three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 424 runs with a .243 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 21 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 23 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 8-4 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 98.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Royals will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games as favorites.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Mets will beat the Royals

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 Sunday day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Royals’ last 11 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight Sunday day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight day games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games as underdogs.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four games against NL East opponents at Kauffman Stadium.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Royals vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this contest looking to complete the series sweep, as they try to catch the Phillies in the NL East standings. The Mets are 22-27 on the road this year, while the Royals are just 23-26 at home. Kansas City has one of the lowest-scoring offenses in the MLB this season, and they are going against Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The Royals are starting Cameron, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. I like this pitching matchup, and with KC struggling to score, I like the under here.