Royals vs Reds Prediction 5/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and the Kansas City Royals meet Wednesday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Reds Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Hunter Greene for the start here, and Greene is 4-2 with a 2.54 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. This will be Greene’s first career start against the Royals. Noah Cameron will get the start for the Royals here and is 1-1 with a 0.93 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Cameron’s first career start against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to build on their 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday to improve to 28-28 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road again for a series rematch against the Chicago Cubs.

Reds Pick Up Back-To-Back Wins

Elly De La Cruz has 54 hits with 9 home runs, 38 RBIs, and 17 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 57 hits with 10 doubles and 19 RBIs, with 8 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 47 hits with a team-high 14 doubles and 21 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 4 home runs and 14 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 6 homers, 17 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 12 doubles this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The road team has won each of the last nine games between the Reds and Royals.
• The Royals have lost each of their last six night games at Kauffman Stadium following a home loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Kauffman Stadium.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against the Royals.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded a Double in each of the Reds’ last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (17) this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals will be out to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Reds on Tuesday to drop to 29-27 on the year. After this series, the Royals will duke it out against the Detroit Tigers in a home division series.

Royals Drop Back-To-Back Games

Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 63 hits with 20 doubles and 19 stolen bases, along with 3 triples, 5 home runs, and 28 RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 55 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 8 home runs, and 30 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 60 hits with 14 doubles, 5 home runs, and 25 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, and Salvador Perez also has 4 home runs and 26 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Royals with 48 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Royals’ last seven games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Reds have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against the Royals following a win.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan India has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Jonathan India has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Royals as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Royals’ last five games as underdogs against the Reds.
• Maikel Garcia has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Reds.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last seven games as underdogs.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Fifteen of the Royals’ last 16 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Royals vs Reds Prediction

I’m on the under here. Noah Cameron has been rock solid for the Royals so far this season, with a sub-1.00 ERA. I think he can stymie the Reds in this game, as he’s already done to some other formidable lineups so far this season. On the other side, Hunter Greene is one of the better options the Reds have in that rotation. I think that Greene can have a strong start against a Royals’ lineup that has had some issues breaking off more than three runs in a game so far this season. Give me the under.